Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 358.516762 407.492581 462.201475 528.118885 605.748478 694.704729 804.983559
2025-08-03 278.550083 340.068589 415.078343 514.314224 643.718564 808.934473 1039.420795
2025-08-10 236.212212 301.595687 385.877170 504.391931 669.867611 897.531913 1243.149625
2025-08-17 214.933055 284.934937 379.521048 519.719967 727.632741 1033.644152 1536.108221
2025-08-24 193.434919 264.266924 363.683219 517.551075 757.517750 1131.613593 1789.461912
2025-08-31 174.510550 244.524360 346.008685 509.018244 774.652414 1210.445399 2025.968151
2025-09-07 161.576340 231.790802 336.678507 511.182933 807.791673 1319.247397 2337.552201
2025-09-14 147.698108 216.085158 320.859923 500.457335 816.987624 1387.037246 2586.351151
2025-09-21 137.763598 205.406621 311.614382 499.067550 841.518635 1485.770027 2919.893977
2025-09-28 125.252471 189.517544 292.367923 478.113738 827.258364 1507.571231 3093.522711
2025-10-05 121.643648 187.600165 295.818820 497.253282 890.506880 1693.857370 3689.012820
2025-10-12 118.817251 186.656354 300.694717 519.361130 962.658052 1912.538810 4430.871372
2025-10-19 112.805224 180.018952 295.372517 522.304932 997.751782 2060.531774 5049.569834
2025-10-26 104.882040 169.503694 282.280352 508.820227 996.451121 2125.485790 5463.651592
2025-11-02 98.285802 160.798278 271.681849 499.010009 1001.561847 2206.687040 5955.124155
2025-11-09 95.609038 158.836596 273.306978 514.141807 1065.051543 2447.650824 7046.336000
2025-11-16 90.975241 152.970038 267.034117 512.000795 1087.932725 2587.808940 7861.884455
2025-11-23 85.994662 146.113558 258.289523 503.578313 1094.388832 2684.668292 8566.304544
2025-11-30 82.617183 142.009173 254.571690 505.715047 1127.363125 2864.883128 9679.248033
2025-12-07 78.132571 135.514681 245.599488 495.127703 1126.249117 2944.154941 10421.993946
2025-12-14 74.936665 131.286725 240.877645 493.755788 1149.226948 3103.664131 11603.404913
2025-12-21 70.063974 123.523089 228.382914 473.070135 1117.219085 3080.711735 11933.272087
2025-12-28 69.290343 123.737926 232.422882 491.964833 1197.591976 3450.447801 14422.069703